Analysis of 10-year trends in Medicare Physician Fee Schedule payments in surgery

Background: Medicare expenditures have steadily increased over the decades, and yet Medicare Physician Fee Schedule payments for individual services have declined. We examine trends in Medicare Physician Fee Schedule payments for office visits, inpatient visits, and surgical procedures. Methods: The Medicare Physician Fee Schedule Look-Up Tool was queried for payment data for office visits, inpatient visits, and surgical procedures between 2013 and 2023. All data were adjusted for inflation using the Consumer Price Index. Trends in payments were calculated for 5 common procedures in each surgical specialty. Trends in aggregate national health expenditures were compared to Medicare Physician Fee Schedule payments for physician services from 2013 to 2021. Results: The Consumer Price Index increased by 29.3% from 2013 to 2023. Inflation-adjusted per-visit Medicare Physician Fee Schedule payments decreased by 12.2% for outpatient office visits, 19.1% for inpatient visits, and 22.8% for surgical procedures from 2013 to 2023. This varied by surgical specialty: vascular (–25.8%), endocrine (–22.0%), general surgery (–27.0%), thoracic (–19.2%), surgical oncology (–22.1%), breast (–22.4%), urology (–2.2%), neurosurgery (–22.8%), obstetrics/gynecology (–19.9%), and orthopedics (–24.7%). Adjusted for inflation, national health expenditures increased by 33.9% for physician services from 2013 to 2021. In comparison, Medicare Physician Fee Schedule payments over the same time period 2013 to 2021 increased by 1.3% for outpatient office visits but decreased by 10.6% for inpatient visits and 9.8% for surgical procedures. Conclusion: Controlling rising national health expenditures is important and necessary, but 10 years of declining Medicare Physician Fee Schedule payments on a per-procedure basis in surgery would suggest that this strategy alone may not achieve those goals and could ultimately threaten access to quality surgical care. Surgeons must advocate for permanent payment reforms.